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ISRO EC 2025 Q.21: solution and answer

ISRO 2025 · ECQ.21 · 1 mark · MCQ

Customer arrivals at a bank follow a Poisson process with mean 10 per hour. What is the probability that time between two arrivals is greater than 10 minutes?

  1. (A)

    exp(-10/6) ≈ 0.188

  2. (B)

    exp(-1) ≈ 0.368

  3. (C)

    exp(-5/6) ≈ 0.435

  4. (D)

    1 - exp(-5/6) ≈ 0.565

See the question in the paper

Answer and solution

ANSWER

The probability is , option (a).

Official answer: ASource: ISRO's final answer key of 15 May 2026

  1. In a Poisson process of rate , the time between successive arrivals is exponentially distributed with density , .

  2. The mean arrival rate is per hour.

  3. Express the time in the same unit as the rate: .

  4. The survival function of the exponential distribution is .

  5. This is option (a), (the value truncated to three places).

  6. Option (b) has , which would need a rate of 6 per hour. Options (c) and (d) have , which corresponds to a rate of 5 per hour (or a mix-up of units); option (d) is simply minus option (c).

KEY IDEA

Gaps between arrivals of a Poisson process are exponential with the same rate, so , provided and are in the same time unit.

WATCH OUT FOR

Using with minutes without converting to hours, or using the cumulative probability (which is ) instead of the survival function.

From the ISRO EC 2025 paper. Every question of this paper · The full paper (PDF, ISRO) · All 4 ISRO Probability & statistics questions, with notes

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